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India-Russia: The Enduring Partnership Tested by War and Realignment

Complex stories. Clear analysis.

Evidence90
Sources3
UpdatedJust now
Read14 min

India's oldest strategic partnership is navigating the Ukraine war, a dramatic surge in oil imports, Western sanctions pressure, and Russia's deepening embrace of China — all while defence dependency keeps the relationship anchored.


Key Findings

  • Russia supplied 60-65% of India's military equipment historically, though this has declined to ~45% as India diversifies to US, France, and Israel
  • India's oil imports from Russia surged from 2% to 35% of total crude imports after the Ukraine war, saving an estimated $15 billion annually
  • The S-400 Triumf air defence system deal ($5.4 billion) proceeded despite US CAATSA sanctions threat, demonstrating India's strategic autonomy
Timeline
1947-08-15

Early Diplomatic Ties

1971-08-09

Indo-Soviet Treaty

2000-10-03

Strategic Partnership

Editorial

Featured Analysis

Solutions

The Fix

Not just what's wrong. What would fix it.

Fixing MGNREGA: 5 Reforms to Make Rural Employment Work

Evidence 80

Despite 20 years of operation, MGNREGA wage rates are indexed to CPI-AL but revisions are delayed by 6-18 months. In 12 of 28 states, scheme wages fall below prevailing market rates, reducing the sche

Problem

Despite 20 years of operation, MGNREGA wage rates are indexed to CPI-AL but revisions are delayed by

Root Cause

Root Causes

Global Example

Brazil

Reduced poverty by 15% in 5 years with lower administrative costs.

Recommendation

Automatic wage indexation

The Fix: How to Fix Crop Insurance in India

Evidence 80

The PM Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), India's flagship crop insurance scheme, has a systemic claims settlement crisis. Our investigation across 6 states found 42% of claims delayed beyond the mandated 60-

Problem

The PM Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY), India's flagship crop insurance scheme, has a systemic claims sett

Root Cause

Root Causes

Global Example

USA

90% of claims settled within 30 days, 99% within 60 days.

Recommendation

Mandate satellite-based loss assessment

Fixing India's Air Pollution: A Multi-Sector Action Plan

Evidence 80

Despite the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) targeting 40% reduction in PM2.5 by 2026, 132 of 141 monitored cities have failed to meet air quality standards. Sources vary by region: vehicular emiss

Problem

Despite the National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) targeting 40% reduction in PM2.5 by 2026, 132 of 141

Root Cause

Root Causes

Global Example

China

PM2.5 reduced by 33% in Beijing within 5 years.

Recommendation

Implement an Airshed-Based Governance Model

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